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Pakistan Economy: Sep-2025 CPI likely at 6.0% - By JS Research

  • By: JS Global Capital Limited

  • - Published: Monday, 22 September 2025
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<ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">Pakistan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to clock in at 6.0% for Sep-2025. The base effect has now faded, marking a return to normalized price trends.</span></li></ul><ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">We expect Food inflation to rise 6.0% YoY in Sep-2025 led by hike in prices for food items including wheat and key vegetables.</span></li></ul><ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">While the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) maintained its cautious stance and maintained policy rate at 11% in the recent MPC due to increasing risk to key macro estimates emerging from the ongoing floods. Our recent survey revealed that investors expect 0 to 100bps drop in Policy rate...

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