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Pakistan Banks: 2QCY25 Previews: Softer NIMs to drag earnings - By Insight Research

  • By: Insight Securities (Private) Limited

  • - Published: Thursday, 10 July 2025
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<p></p><ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">We estimate profitability of ISL coverage banks to decline by ~1%/14% YoY/QoQ. The decline is primarily attributable to falling yield resulting in NIMs compression along with moderation in capital gains. However, some respite is expected from volumetric growth and heightened focus on zero cost deposits. Moreover, we expect dividend payouts to remain robust amid healthy profits and decent buffer on adequacy ratios. We project HBL/UBL/MCB/MEBL/BAFL to post EPS of PKR9.5/11.3/9.9/11.4/4.9, respectively. On dividend payouts, we expect HBL/UBL/MCB/MEBL/BAFL to announce DPS of PKR4.5/7.0/9.0/7.0/2.5, respectively.</span></li></ul><ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">The sector's net interest margins (NIMs...

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