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Pakistan Economy: National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) Inflation Preview - By AHCML Research

  • By: Al Habib Capital Markets (Pvt.) Limited

  • - Published: Monday, 30 June 2025
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<p></p><ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">Inflation for Jun&rsquo;25 is likely to come in at 3.47% YoY, compared to same 3.46% YoY in May&rsquo;25 and 12.6% YoY in the same period last year. On a monthly basis, CPI is expected to clock in at 0.46% MoM, Headline inflation for Jun&rsquo;25 is expected to increase, primarily driven by a sharp increase in food prices, which make up 35% of the CPI basket. Food inflation is projected at 3.6%YoY due to significant increase in key items: Spices (88% YoY), Milk (36%), rice 37%), meat (20%), and cooking oil (16%). On a MoM basis, the food index is expected to increase by 0.6%, led by higher prices for tomatoes, eggs, and chicken.</span></li></ul><ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">The ongoing reforms in t...

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